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Saturday, August 17, 2013

Is Global Warming Responsible for All the Cold Weather?

Atlanta breaks a century-old temperature record Thursday

The fact is that the #1 influence on the weather is the sun. A second big impact comes from volcanoes. Neither of those climate influencers has anything to do with man. But no matter what happens with the weather, those who have lots to gain from hysteria will scream, "The sky is falling, the sky is falling."


Ray Schneider said...

The continued cool weather puts the lie to the CO2 warming idea. Sorry you climate scientists but 15 years of no warming while CO2 increases is called disconfirmation. Time to stop pretending and go back to the drawing boards. You'll do better predicting global cooling since all the signs point to that more than the other.

Dan Pangburn said...

A licensed mechanical engineer (retired) who has been researching this issue (unfunded) for 6 years, and in the process discovered what actually caused global warming and why it ended, has four papers on the web that you may find of interest. They provide some eye-opening insight on the cause of change to average global temperature and why it has stopped warming. The papers are straight-forward calculations (not just theory) using readily available data up to May, 2013.

The first one is 'Global warming made simple' at It shows, with simple thermal radiation calculations, how a tiny change in the amount of low-altitude clouds could account for half of the average global temperature change in the 20th century, and what could have caused that tiny cloud change. (The other half of the temperature change is from net average natural ocean oscillation which is dominated by the PDO)

The second paper is 'Natural Climate change has been hiding in plain sight' at . This paper presents a simple equation that, using a single external forcing, calculates average global temperatures since they have been accurately measured world wide (about 1895) with an accuracy of 90%, irrespective of whether the influence of CO2 is included or not. The equation uses a proxy which is the time-integral of sunspot numbers (the external forcing). A graph is included which shows the calculated trajectory overlaid on measurements.

Change to the level of atmospheric CO2 has had no significant effect on average global temperature.

The time-integral of sunspot numbers since 1610 which is shown at corroborates the significance of this factor.

A third paper, ‘The End of Global Warming’ at expands recent (since 1996) measurements and includes a graph showing the growing separation between the rising CO2 and not-rising average global temperature.

The fourth paper exposes some of the mistakes that have been made by the ‘Consensus’ and the IPCC